How and how not to make predictions with temporal copernicanism
pp. 91-111
Abstract
Gott (Nature 363:315–319, 1993) considers the problem of obtaining a probabilistic prediction for the duration of a process, given the observation that the process is currently underway and began a time t ago. He uses a temporal Copernican principle according to which the observation time can be treated as a random variable with uniform probability density. A simple rule follows: with a 95% probability,
Publication details
Published in:
(2009) Synthese 166 (1).
Pages: 91-111
DOI: 10.1007/s11229-007-9259-5
Full citation:
Nelson Kevin (2009) „How and how not to make predictions with temporal copernicanism“. Synthese 166 (1), 91–111.