The coherence argument against conditionalization
pp. 229-258
Abstract
I re-examine Coherence Arguments (Dutch Book Arguments, No Arbitrage Arguments) for diachronic constraints on Bayesian reasoning. I suggest to replace the usual game–theoretic coherence condition with a new decision–theoretic condition ('Diachronic Sure Thing Principle'). The new condition meets a large part of the standard objections against the Coherence Argument and frees it, in particular, from a commitment to additive utilities. It also facilitates the proof of the Converse Dutch Book Theorem.
Publication details
Published in:
(1998) Synthese 115 (2).
Pages: 229-258
Full citation:
Hild Matthias (1998) „The coherence argument against conditionalization“. Synthese 115 (2), 229–258.